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Raja Atif Raza
The truth of this observation appeared starkly on the morning of February 28, 2026. While much of the world carried on with its daily routine, a sudden wave of explosions and airstrikes across the Middle East captured global attention. The United States and Israel launched coordinated airstrikes on multiple military targets inside Iran, triggering a swift and forceful retaliation from Tehran.Within hours, Iran launched a massive counterattack aimed at U.S. military installations and Israeli interests across the Gulf region. What began as a sudden military escalation has, in a matter of days, evolved into a major regional crisis—one that has ignited fears worldwide that the conflict could spiral into a much broader global confrontation.
A Region on the Edge
During the first five to six days of hostilities, tensions across the Middle East escalated dramatically. Several countries were directly or indirectly affected, with hundreds killed and thousands wounded. Governments across the region raised security alerts, while international markets reacted with growing alarm.The global economy has already begun to feel the impact, particularly in the energy sector. Iran announced the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world’s most vital maritime corridors through which a significant portion of global oil shipments pass. Analysts warn that if the crisis continues or intensifies, crude oil prices could surge to nearly $200 per barrel, potentially triggering worldwide economic instability.
The Opening Strikes
According to U.S. and Israeli defense officials, the initial attacks on February 28 were part of a carefully coordinated joint operation. The United States designated its campaign “Epic Fury,” while Israel referred to its operation as “Roaring Line.”The strikes targeted Iran’s missile infrastructure, air defense systems, and military command networks, particularly facilities linked to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC).Israeli military sources reported that approximately 2,500 precision-guided weapons were deployed during the operation, hitting nearly 600 targets across Iran. These included missile storage depots, air defense installations, underground facilities, and command centers.Iranian authorities confirmed that the strikes resulted in the death of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who had ruled the country since 1989. His death represents one of the most devastating blows to Iran’s political and military leadership in modern history.
Iran’s Retaliation
Iran responded swiftly with a retaliatory campaign named “Fateh Khyber.” The operation targeted U.S. military bases and Israeli interests across the Gulf using a combination of ballistic missiles and drones.According to the IRGC, Iran launched 26 armed drones and five ballistic missiles toward American military facilities in Kuwait, the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, and near the Strait of Hormuz. Although regional air defense systems intercepted many of the incoming projectiles, several managed to reach their targets.
In response, Gulf states issued high-level security alerts, while certain airspaces were temporarily closed as a precaution.
Human Cost of theT Conflict
Between February 28 and March 5, 2026, Iran experienced the heaviest casualties of the conflict. Verified reports indicate that 1,000 to 1,100 civilians were killed, while broader estimates—including military losses—place the death toll at over 4,000. An additional 5,000 to 6,000 people were injured.Military losses were also significant. More than 1,000 IRGC personnel and other security officials were reportedly killed, including 48 senior commanders and government officials during the initial wave of strikes.One of the most tragic incidents occurred in Minab, where a missile strike on a girls’ school killed approximately 160 students and staff, sending shockwaves across the region and drawing widespread international condemnation.
Casualties Across the Region
Israel also suffered casualties from Iranian missile attacks. Approximately 10 to 12 civilians were killed, while more than 400 people were injured. Several buildings and infrastructure facilities in Tel Aviv and Beit Shemesh sustained significant damage.The United States reported six soldiers killed and 18 wounded in attacks on its regional bases. In addition, three U.S. F-15E fighter jets were destroyed in Kuwait during a friendly-fire incident, highlighting the complexity and volatility of the unfolding military operations.Gulf countries were not immune to the consequences of the conflict. In the United Arab Emirates, missile debris killed three foreign workers and injured around 78 others, while reports indicated that nearly 1,000 missiles and drones were directed toward the country during the early phase of the conflict.In Qatar, although no deaths were reported, 16 civilians were injured by missile debris, and the Qatari Air Force reportedly shot down two Iranian Su-24 aircraft.Meanwhile, Kuwait recorded six fatalities and more than 18 injuries resulting from missile strikes and debris.
Spillover Across the Middle East
The conflict quickly extended beyond the immediate confrontation between Iran, Israel, and the United States.In Lebanon, Israeli strikes targeting Hezbollah positions killed more than 70 people. In Iraq, four fighters from Iran-backed militia groups were reported killed. In Oman, attacks on ports and shipping lanes left one person dead.Even Turkey experienced the indirect effects of the conflict when a missile was intercepted near a NATO military installation, though no casualties were reported.
The Military Balance
From a military perspective, the confrontation involves some of the most formidable forces in the region.Iran maintains approximately 610,000 active military personnel and around 350,000 reserve forces, supported by a vast arsenal of ballistic missiles and a network of underground military facilities.The United States, the world’s most powerful military force, fields roughly 1.3 million active personnel, alongside advanced fighter aircraft, stealth bombers, and extensive naval assets deployed throughout the region.Israel also possesses a highly advanced military capability, including a sophisticated air force and layered missile defense systems such as Iron Dome, David’s Sling, and the Arrow system, designed to intercept rockets and ballistic missiles.
A Crisis with Global Consequences
In just six days, the conflict has claimed more than 1,300 lives across the region, with its effects felt in 10 to 12 Middle Eastern countries. Iranian officials report that over 170 cities have experienced strikes or security incidents.The war is no longer simply a regional confrontation. It has evolved into a crisis with global political, economic, and security implications.As the world watches anxiously, the coming days will determine whether the conflict remains contained within the Middle East or escalates into a far more dangerous international confrontation—one that could reshape global geopolitics for years to come.